From a statistical perspective: Why the march to the Capitol was not a good idea for staying in power

How much Donald Trump really influenced the events on January 6th needs to be assessed later on by historians. Nevertheless, from an empirical point of view a few things can already be said today: Coups are an extremely rarely observable phenomenon for modern democracies, seem to have generally gone out of fashion and are almost never successful in democracies.

The MBI CONIAS conflict database separately records coups and attempted coups since 1945: A total of 668 coups and attempted coups can be recorded at the country level between 1945 and 2020.

MBI-CONIAS-Number-of-Coups

As illustrated in the figure above, the highest number of coups occurred in the period from 1962 to 1982 and then again around 1990. Both peaks can be explained by the number of young states and thus untested power and security structures during the period of decolonization or the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War. Overall, a loss of significance of coups can be observed, showing for example in 2018 – a year with not a single coup or coup attempt.

The declining use of this instrument to change power (only rarely used to maintain power) can be explained, among other things, by its significantly reduced success rate. While in the period between 1950 and 1980 more than two-thirds (69%) were considered successful, meaning they led to a change of power, the measurable outcome in the following years tips exactly into the opposite direction. Between 1981 and the 1990s only one-third (34%) of all coup plotters achieved their goal with the rest failing. From the mid-1990s onward, the number of coups measured annually declined sharply. For the last ten years, the vast majority of all coups (62%) failed.

Coups are particularly unsuccessful in fully established democracies like the U.S. has been for many years. The most famous of these unsuccessful coups took place when then-King Juan Carlos opposed the military and sided with democracy in the 1982 military coup in Spain.

Political instability poses an immediate and highly complex set of risks to business interests. The MBI CONIAS Risk Intelligence analysis tool assesses the political risk situation. MBI’s up-to-date data support companies in identifying risks for location, logistics and investment security at an early stage and in developing targeted adaptation strategies.

If you want to learn more about coups, their chances of success, and the subsequent risks, please contact our Sales team.

Insurance industry: Political risk data is now also available for CRESTA zones

Karlsruhe, December 17th 2020: The MBI CONIAS global political risk data from Michael Bauer International GmbH are now also available for the CRESTA zones, which indicate the worldwide natural hazard zones. The combination of both products now maps the risk values for political and natural threats and supports the insurance industry in minimizing its risks.

Go to the press release and read more…

Please contact us for more information about political risk data and CRESTA zones!

Consistent data for European e-mobility solutions

A variety of data has to be taken into account for the development of e-mobility and charging infrastructure. At the same time, many companies are encountering difficulties in obtaining data for other European countries besides Germany. MBI provides globally consistent and comparable data for well-founded potential analyses and thus supports companies on their way to electromobility.

Karlsruhe, December 2nd 2020: The most valuable basis for mastering the challenges of electromobility is high-quality data and their analysis. MBI’s European e-mobility data bundle supports analysts and planners of distribution networks, planners of public and private charging infrastructure, the automotive industry and retailers in designing future mobility concepts.

Depending on the industry, the issues vary and have to be answered with different data solutions. These include the origin and destination of drivers, but also how long they stay at a particular location. Sociodemographic issues relating to the affinity for electromobility also play a major role.

MBI’s data portfolio includes, amongst others, data on households by type and sociodemography. Further insights are provided by data on market segmentation and target group definition of consumers as well as the behavior of target groups, their movement patterns, whereabouts and duration of stay. Knowing about the milieu affiliation of the population also has many advantages for targeting, since most decisions are made under the influence of lifestyle and social milieu.

This information can be enriched with additional data such as vehicle inventory data. Available for numerous European countries, they contain important technical insights such as the fuel type for over 97% of vehicles. As HERE Technologies Distributor, MBI also offers location data for charging stations for many countries around the world.

MBI Sales Director Andreas Wenzel says: “The energy sector and the automotive industry are in the midst of major changes. Markets and target groups have to be analyzed, potentials localized and sales activities and infrastructures carefully planned. With the right data, many of these questions can be answered faster and more reliably. The combination of MBI’s extensive expertise and our globally consistent and comparable data provides our customers with a precise basis for decisive planning for the future.”

Please contact us for more information on our e-mobility data portfolio!

Go to the press release and read more about MBI European e-mobility solutions…

What international conflict situation has Joe Biden to expect?

MBI’s up-to-date data provide information on the political risk situation and support companies in identifying risks for location, logistics and investment security at an early stage and in developing targeted adaptation strategies.

Karlsruhe, November 19th 2020: Whether the USA will once again assume their role as “the world’s policeman” under Joe Biden is currently unclear – but there are more than enough national and international crises. With the MBI CONIAS analysis tool for global political conflicts, Michael Bauer International GmbH continuously examines the data situation on political risks.

Find out more about MBI Political Risk Data in our press release…

Public Sector: MBI offers attractive licensing models for routable road network from HERE Technologies

The map shows an examplary illustration for construction sites in Karlsruhe, Germany.

Karlsruhe, November 12th 2020: Michael Bauer International GmbH, one of the largest global data providers with headquarters in Karlsruhe and a certified HERE Technologies Distributor, offers optimized and adapted licensing models for the needs and requirements of the public sector and educational use.

HERE Technologies’ routable maps that are used in over 150 million vehicles can support cities and municipalities, public sector, universities and non-profit organizations in meeting their current and future challenges. 

Go to the press release and read more…

E-commerce, services like click and collect and delivery are changing stores

As many parts of the world are entering second waves of COVID-19, businesses need to once again adapt to changing consumer behavior. Because of resulting restrictions, preferences are shifting to shopping locally as well as online-shopping. Besides growing e-commerce, services like click and collect as well as delivery are changing stores. Businesses need to adapt to those changes and optimize their location planning – whether they focus on local or online retail. MBI’s Mobile Trace Data provide insights into the behavior of visitors and their movement patterns. Combining those with our data on purchasing power, online-shopping affinity and many more can help companies to stay successful and competitive in times of crisis and at the same time react to customers’ needs with adapted location planning.

For more information on our gobal data offering, please contact our Sales Team.

Consumer Spending by Product Groups – Analyze Consumer Behavior in Europe

Due to the corona pandemic, the gap in consumer spending between different product groups is broad. It is therefore recommended that companies take a look at consumer spending by product groups.

Especially in times like these, the consumer spending by product groups clearly illustrates the diversity in regional distribution for your product group in stationary retail.

In most markets, consumers’ spending behavior does not only depend on income. Therefore, MBI offers a further development of the general purchasing power in form of 20 different product groups with which you can localize market potential for your product or service. An understanding of the regional distribution of consumer potential and preferences supports you in establishing a more targeted market development strategy. For these product groups, MBI has calculated the volume of consumer spending on postcode, administrative and, for some countries, also on a microgeographic level. This provides a planning basis that is comparable across countries.

MBI’s product groups at a glance:

  • Food and non-alcoholic beverages
  • Alcoholic beverages
  • Tobacco
  • Clothing
  • Footwear
  • Furniture and furnishings, carpets and other floor coverings
  • Household textiles
  • Household appliances
  • Glassware, tableware and household utensils
  • Tools and equipment for house and garden
  • Routine household maintenance
  • Medical products, appliances and equipment
  • Consumer Electronics, photographic and IT equipment
  • Durables for recreation and culture
  • Toys and games, hobby, sport, garden, pets
  • Recreational and cultural services
  • Newspapers, books and stationery
  • Catering Services
  • Personal care
  • Jewellery, clocks, watches and other personal effects

Further analyses can be conducted by enriching this with additional data. With the age groups broken down in 5-year bands, products and services can be directed to areas where promising age groups are represented above average.

In addition, MBI’s consumer styles data help you to answer the question on segmentation: Which consumer styles are most common where? The target group model for market segmentation and target group definition of consumers is available for 10 consumer styles and is characterized by a uniform and globally comparable database.

All data can be visualized with our area boundaries on postal, administrative and, to a large extent, also on micro area level – because the combination of geography and socio-economic data illustrates where there is sales potential through comprehensible maps.

For more information on our Consumer Spending Data, please contact our Sales Team.

WEBINAR – Optimize Your Fleet Operations with HERE Technologies

During this challenging time, businesses need to adjust to changes in consumer behavior. Fast responses to customer inquiries and delivery times like same day delivery are just two examples for consumers’ expectations for companies. Sign up here to learn from Amol Naik, Product Manager at HERE Technologies, how HERE Location Services support you in advancing your solution to meet those expectations.

Logistics businesses are experiencing unprecedented demand to provide best customer service while streamlining costs and processes. This is a challenge given shrinking margins and volatility in supply and demand of transport capacity. Therefore, it is an imperative to look for ways to maximize asset utilization, lower costs, and improve delivery efficiencies. As one of the first global HERE Technologies Distributors, MBI offers tour planning, optimization and routing services along with HERE’s rich portfolio of map data and location services. These services can be easily integrated into existing IT landscapes and offer a scalable way to increase ROI and throughput of your assets.

Asia – number of small area maps continues to grow

MBI’s range of small area maps continues to grow. In the Asian region in particular, more and more detailed analyzes can be carried out.

Examples for small area maps /micro areas (country / number of areas / area level)

Indonesia / 81.903 / Kelurahan
South-Korea / 5.048 / Dong
Malaysia / 1.191 / Mukim
Singapore / 323 / Subzones

With area boundaries, catchment areas can be visualized and the question “Where do my customers come from?” can be answered. By linking the area boundaries with company-internal data, spatial correlations can be depicted. MBI data on for example population and purchasing power can also be enriched individually.

Learn more about MBI area boundaries…

Development of Inner-City Customer Frequencies in Times of Corona

Changes-in-Customer-Shopping-Behavior-Corona

Customer frequency in the city centers has changed significantly in recent months. An analysis of centrally positioned areas at around 125 locations in Germany by Hystreet.com shows a sharp decline compared to the same period in 2019.

Global Mobile Trace data from MBI can be used for comprehensive analyses, also outside the city centers. The data collection and evaluation are carried out GDPR-compliant in aggregated form via mobile phone apps which allow localization via GPS signals when displaying advertisement. By assigning the signals to homezone or workzone based on their time stamp, a clear distinction between residents, employees and actual passers-by is possible.

As a MBI sister company Michael Bauer Micromarketing GmbH for example can use MBI Mobile Trace data to determine the actual visitors to the location based on visitor density. Thus, exact catchment areas can be calculated for more than 10,000 retail centers of various sizes across Germany. By matching with microgeographic characteristics such as information on Socio-Demographics or the Sinus Milieus, retailers can get to know the characteristics of their actual customers and align their product ranges accordingly.

As the Mobile Trace data is available since 2018, this offers the possibility to analyze the effects of COVID-19 before, during and after the corona crisis or at different periods of the pandemic.

Further areas of application for Mobile Trace data are:

  • Competitive analyses on customer loyalty
  • Optimization of distribution areas for flyers and the placement of out-of-home advertising
  • Identification of white spots with the greatest sales potential when planning expansion
  • Measurement of the effects of a settlement (e.g. discounters) on visitor flows in the central supply area

For more information on our Mobile Trace Data, please contact our Sales Team.